Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2440/580
Type: Journal article
Title: Statistical modelling and prediction associated with the HIV/AIDS epidemic
Author: Solomon, P.
Wilson, S.
Citation: The Mathematical Scientist, 2001; 26:87-102
Publisher: Applied Probability Trust
Issue Date: 2001
ISSN: 0312-3685
Organisation: Centre for the Molecular Genetics of Development
Statement of
Responsibility: 
P. J. Solomon and S. R. Wilson
Abstract: This paper gives an overview of the fundamental mathematical modelling and statistical procedures underlying the practices widely used in industrialised countries for predicting AIDS incidence and prevalence, as well as estimating past HIV incidence. Such predictions are needed for public health and insurance planning. In particular, we consider extrapolation forecasting, prediction of trends in small groups, stochastic epidemic modelling, backcalculation and multistage modelling.
Description: © Applied Probability Trust 2001
Appears in Collections:Applied Mathematics publications
Aurora harvest
Centre for the Molecular Genetics of Development publications

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