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Type: Journal article
Title: 中国人口老龄化的宏观经济后果 : 应用一般均衡分析
Other Titles: Zhongguo ren kou lao ling hua de hong guan jing ji hou guo : ying yong yi ban jun heng fen xi
Author: Peng, Xiujian
Citation: Renkou Yanjiu [Population Research], 2006; 30 (4):12-22
Publisher: Zhongguo Renmin Daxue, Renkou Lilun Yanjiusuo
Issue Date: 2006
ISSN: 1000-6087
School/Discipline: School of Social Sciences : Gender, Work and Social Inquiry
Centre for Labour Research
Abstract: The paper explores the macroeconomic consequences of the population ageing over the period of 2000 to 2100 in China using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The simulation exercise shows that the main effect of population ageing is to decelerate aggregate economic growth through the negative growth of labour supply and reduction in the rate of physical capital formation. Secondly, material living standards keep improving but at a declining rate. Finally, productivity improvement is the main force that sustains China's economic growth during the 21st century against the backdrop of population ageing.
Description: This article is only available in Chinese text. It was published in a Chinese language journal and is not available in Australia. Translated title = Macroeconomic consequences of population ageing in China: a computable general equilibrium analysis
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Appears in Collections:Gender Studies and Social Analysis publications

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