Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2440/132951
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Type: Journal article
Title: Climate change negates positive CO₂ effects on marine species biomass and productivity by altering the strength and direction of trophic interactions
Other Titles: Climate change negates positive CO(2) effects on marine species biomass and productivity by altering the strength and direction of trophic interactions
Author: Ullah, H.
Fordham, D.A.
Nagelkerken, I.
Citation: Science of the Total Environment, 2021; 801:1-8
Publisher: Elsevier
Issue Date: 2021
ISSN: 0048-9697
1879-1026
Statement of
Responsibility: 
Hadayet Ullah, Damien A.Fordham, Ivan Nagelkerken
Abstract: One of the biggest challenges in more accurately forecasting the effects of climate change on future food web dynamics relates to how climate change affects multi-trophic species interactions, particularly when multiple interacting stressors are considered. Using a dynamic food web model, we investigate the individual and combined effect of ocean warming and acidification on changes in trophic interaction strengths (both direct and indirect) and the consequent effects on biomass structure of food web functional groups. To do this, we mimicked a species-rich multi-trophic-level temperate shallow-water rocky reef food web and integrated empirical data from mesocosm experiments on altered species interactions under warming and acidification, into food-web models. We show that a low number of strong temperature-driven changes in direct trophic interactions (feeding and competition) will largely determine the magnitude of biomass change (either increase or decrease) of high-order consumers, with increasing consumer biomass suppressing that of prey species. Ocean acidification, in contrast, alters a large number of weak indirect interactions (e.g. cascading effects of increased or decreased abundances of other groups), enabling a large increase in consumer and prey biomass. The positive effects of ocean acidification are driven by boosted primary productivity, with energy flowing up to higher trophic levels. We show that warming is a much stronger driver of positive as well as negative modifications of species biomass compared to ocean acidification. Warming affects a much smaller number of existing trophic interactions, though, with direct consumer-resource effects being more important than indirect effects. We conclude that the functional role of consumers in future food webs will be largely regulated by alterations in the strength of direct trophic interactions under ocean warming, with ensuing effects on the biomass structure of marine food webs.
Keywords: Climate change
Direct and indirect interactions
Food webs
Ocean acidification
Species interactions
Trophic interaction strengths
Rights: © 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149624
Grant ID: http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/FT120100183
Appears in Collections:Environment Institute publications

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